Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.552044 0.626234 0.705281 0.795616 0.895831 1.003436 1.127549
2025-10-05 0.445684 0.550266 0.669816 0.815914 0.988918 1.186501 1.428439
2025-10-12 0.368159 0.491902 0.642829 0.838801 1.084688 1.381009 1.762910
2025-10-19 0.300042 0.432390 0.604035 0.839844 1.151792 1.546337 2.078443
2025-10-26 0.247138 0.382746 0.569091 0.838830 1.213293 1.707918 2.402393
2025-11-02 0.205844 0.341468 0.538292 0.837386 1.271351 1.867507 2.735176
2025-11-09 0.173257 0.306948 0.511269 0.836162 1.327136 2.026118 3.076922
2025-11-16 0.148017 0.279214 0.489766 0.839029 1.386967 2.192809 3.440139
2025-11-23 0.125263 0.251405 0.463761 0.830699 1.427314 2.332089 3.771365
2025-11-30 0.110687 0.235142 0.453957 0.846167 1.504417 2.529962 4.200706
2025-12-07 0.094706 0.213372 0.431506 0.837280 1.540296 2.665343 4.541801
2025-12-14 0.083567 0.198889 0.419782 0.844871 1.602856 2.845417 4.961777
2025-12-21 0.071015 0.179432 0.396536 0.829761 1.626137 2.965017 5.295811
2025-12-28 0.065470 0.173923 0.399273 0.862559 1.735586 3.233610 5.887650
2026-01-04 0.060381 0.168503 0.401401 0.894188 1.845140 3.508890 6.505952
2026-01-11 0.053581 0.157761 0.391052 0.900096 1.907479 3.706394 7.003854
2026-01-18 0.047360 0.147166 0.379486 0.902038 1.961972 3.892757 7.492037
2026-01-25 0.041842 0.137213 0.367880 0.902394 2.012903 4.075075 7.982000
2026-02-01 0.037009 0.128048 0.356724 0.902275 2.062389 4.256956 8.479752
2026-02-08 0.033011 0.120348 0.347890 0.906084 2.119621 4.455781 9.017125
2026-02-15 0.028874 0.111266 0.334329 0.897643 2.150608 4.606418 9.473451
2026-02-22 0.026436 0.106874 0.331932 0.914481 2.235448 4.863895 10.138421
2026-03-01 0.023147 0.098918 0.319078 0.905158 2.263389 5.012178 10.605679